Bitcoin
Strong US jobs report shifts Federal Reserve rate expectations and impacts Bitcoin
Resilient employment data has clouded prospects for near-term interest rate cuts, prompting market volatility across Bitcoin and crypto assets.
The U.S. economy added 162,000 jobs in August 2026, significantly exceeding economists' forecasts of approximately 65,000, while the unemployment rate held at 4.1%. The robust payroll figure far surpassed the prior 12-month average monthly gain of 31,000.
The stronger labor data dampened expectations for monetary easing, leading financial markets to price in a potential rate hike at the Federal Reserve’s upcoming September 15–16 meeting. The shift occurred despite public calls from Donald Trump urging the central bank to lower interest rates to maintain competitiveness.
Bitcoin has displayed heightened sensitivity to shifting monetary policy expectations. While hawkish remarks from Fed Chair Kevin Warsh previously pushed BTC down to $77,000, subsequent comments from Governor Christopher Waller spurred a 5% rally and $730.8 million in spot ETF inflows, leaving rate-hike odds hovering around 50%.
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