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An Anonymous Bitcoin Cycle Model Faces Market Test as Predicted Bottom Date Arrives

A popular timing model from an anonymous online post is facing scrutiny after projecting a market bottom exactly one year after Bitcoin reached its peak.

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An anonymous cyclical model first posted on 4chan in December 2023 has drawn renewed attention after correctly identifying Bitcoin's October 2025 peak near $126,000. The framework relies on two distinct periods: a 1,064-day rise from a bear market low to the cycle high, followed by a 364-day decline to the next major bottom, which placed the expected low around October 5 to 6, 2026.

Bitcoin is currently trading near $85,547, roughly 32% below its record high, but well above its July low of around $57,000 to $58,000. Some market commentators, including Crypto Rover, suggest that the actual cycle bottom may have already formed during that July drop, leaving the latest timing prediction unconfirmed.

Beyond the projected bottom, the model outlines long-term targets of $190,000 to $250,000 for Bitcoin, $15,000 to $20,000 for Ethereum, and $1,000 to $1,500 for Solana. Meanwhile, institutional interest continues, with Citigroup raising its 12-month Bitcoin target from $82,000 to $113,000 and Michael Saylor's Strategy acquiring another 334 BTC.

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