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Japanese yen strengthens to six-month high against dollar amid rate hike expectations

A sharp rebound in the Japanese yen has raised attention across financial markets as expectations mount for an upcoming interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan.

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The Japanese yen advanced to 154 against the US dollar on September 7, reaching its highest valuation since February and reversing a multi-decade low recorded in late July. The rapid recovery has heightened focus on the unwinding of yen-funded carry trades, where investors borrow in yen at low interest rates to purchase higher-yielding assets elsewhere.

The turnaround followed joint currency market intervention by Japanese and US authorities after the dollar peaked at 163.9 yen on July 29. US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent confirmed participation in the measure and indicated a willingness to engage in further joint actions if currency movements became disorderly.

Market expectations regarding Bank of Japan monetary policy have driven the recent gains. Takuji Aida, chief economist at Crédit Agricole and economic advisor to Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi, stated that the central bank is likely to raise interest rates during its policy meeting scheduled for September 17 and 18.

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