Bitcoin
Bitcoin Realized Volatility Approaches Lows as 71 Percent of Supply Remains in Profit
Low short-term price variation and high holder profitability reflect a broader quiet period driven primarily by long-term accumulation.
Bitcoin traded near $78,000 following a close at $79,092 on September 7, as one-month realized volatility dropped toward historic lows. On-chain metrics show that roughly 71% of the circulating Bitcoin supply is currently held in profit, nearing the historical average benchmark of 74.7% that has previously marked transitions between market cycles.
The compressed volatility coincides with broader market stability, with the CBOE Volatility Index recording 15.30 on September 7, 2026, resting in the 14th percentile of its one-year range. The report observes that historical periods of suppressed volatility have preceded both substantial rallies and sharp downward corrections.
According to Glassnode data, the decline in volatility is primarily driven by long-term holder behaviour rather than changes in trading leverage. Long-term holder supply, defined as coins unmoved on-chain for at least 155 days, proved to be the strongest explanatory factor for realized volatility, ranking ahead of open interest, funding rates, and market capitalization.
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