Bitcoin Reclaims 50-Week Moving Average as Analysts Debate Market Cycle Phase
Bitcoin recorded its first weekly close above the 50-week moving average in over ten months, prompting market observers to assess the durability of the recovery.
Bitcoin closed the week at $81,159 on Coinbase, surpassing its 50-week moving average of $78,788 and marking its highest weekly close in four months. According to TradingView data cited in the report, this represents the asset's first weekly settlement above this threshold since November 9, 2025.
Several analysts view the technical milestone as a constructive signal. Galaxy Research head of firmwide research Alex Thorn noted that reclaiming the 50-week average has historically coincided with the conclusion of bear markets in four of the past five completed cycles. Collective Shift founder Ben Simpson also pointed out that previous moves above this level in 2017, 2020, and 2023 were followed by substantial multi-hundred percent rallies.
However, market experts caution that a single weekly close does not guarantee a sustained bull phase. Bitget chief analyst Ryan Lee stated that Bitcoin must demonstrate an ability to hold above the moving average and form higher lows, emphasizing that previous cycles have witnessed failed breakouts, particularly during challenging macroeconomic conditions.
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