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XRP Technical Patterns and On-Chain Outflows Draw Diverging Analyst Views

Technical analysts evaluate XRP's recovery and multi-exchange volume surge, with opinions split between bullish pattern comparisons and cautious correction models.

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Trading near $1.40 following a roughly 35% monthly gain, XRP remains below its 2025 peak of $3.65 after recovering from sub-$1.00 levels recorded earlier in the summer. Some chart analysts argue that the asset is repeating a technical sequence from 2024 that preceded a significant upward move, outlining potential trajectory targets spanning from $1.10 up toward $3.40, alongside Fibonacci projections citing potential extension targets near $2.13.

On-chain metrics highlight notable shifts in market activity. Spot trading volumes reached a six-month high in August 2026, with Binance registering over $7.26 billion alongside elevated volume on Upbit and Bithumb. Furthermore, approximately 500 million XRP moved off Binance during the month, bringing exchange reserves down to levels last observed in early 2024, an outflow that analysts associate with self-custody transfers or spot ETF activity.

Other market observers present a more cautious outlook, maintaining that XRP remains inside a corrective structure within the $1.10 to $1.38 support range. This perspective views the recent rebound as a three-wave move without a confirmed bottom, treating the current price movement as an incomplete retracement rather than a sustained trend continuation.

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