Bitcoin
Bitcoin Consolidates in Narrow Range as Volatility Remains Subdued
Bitcoin trades around $63,500 after institutional outflows and record-low trading volatility, positioning the market for a potential sharp move.
Bitcoin traded slightly higher near $63,500 on Monday following a modest pullback in the prior week, supported by improving risk sentiment despite cautious institutional positioning. The asset has consolidated between $62,300 and $66,500 since mid-July, with analysts noting that trading volumes and implied volatility have fallen to unusually compressed levels. This extended period of calm has historically preceded substantial price movements.
US spot Bitcoin ETFs experienced combined net outflows of $389.71 million last week, signalling weakened institutional demand through regulated investment products. Continued outflows could intensify selling pressure and test the lower boundary of Bitcoin's trading range, while a return to inflows might provide support for resistance attempts.
Research from 10x Research highlighted that Bitcoin is now trading within its narrowest range in several months, with options market data showing implied volatility at historically subdued levels. This compression reflects a temporary balance between buyers and sellers, though several cautious signals persist including ongoing stablecoin withdrawals and four consecutive weeks of net selling by Strategy. Once either side gains control, the resulting breakout could produce a rapid acceleration in volatility, though the direction of such a move remains uncertain.
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