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Bitcoin Approaches $90,000 as On-Chain Metrics and ETF Inflows Signal Rising Leverage

On-chain indicators show short-term Bitcoin holders reaching breakeven alongside a surge in spot ETF demand and rising derivatives leverage.

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Bitcoin has rebounded into the $85,000 to $90,000 range following a weekly rally of over 7%, returning short-term holders who bought within the past 150 days to their breakeven levels. According to market data, this recovery in unrealized profits coincides with heightened sentiment, with the Crypto Fear and Greed Index reaching extreme greed levels on September 22.

Spot institutional demand has supported the move, highlighted by $937.3 million in net inflows into Bitcoin exchange-traded funds on September 21. Data from Santiment indicates this was the largest single-day inflow recorded since October 2025.

However, the report highlights potential risks as leverage builds in the derivatives market. CoinGlass data indicates a substantial accumulation of long liquidity just above current trading levels, creating potential vulnerability if the market fails to sustain momentum above $90,000. Historically, in 2019 and 2023, Bitcoin's Market Value to Realized Value ratio crossed back above its 365-day moving average following previous downturns.

How this piece reads Neutral tone +5
Site call on Bitcoin Sell score -25.6

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