Bitcoin
JPMorgan forecasts 10% annualized returns for Bitcoin over the next decade
JPMorgan Asset Management has projected Bitcoin to achieve a 10% compound annual return over the next 10 to 15 years, outpacing major traditional asset classes.
JPMorgan Asset Management has included Bitcoin in its long-term return forecasts for the first time in the 31-year history of its annual capital market assumptions report. The investment division projects Bitcoin to deliver a 10% compound annual return over a 10 to 15-year horizon, with an estimated arithmetic return of 20.9%.
This projection places Bitcoin ahead of several traditional investment categories in the bank's model. JPMorgan projects U.S. large-cap equities to return 7.5% annually, U.S. real estate investment trusts to generate 8.2%, and gold to yield 5.5% over the same period.
The long-term forecast arrives alongside significant risk considerations. The bank projects Bitcoin's annualized volatility at 55%, compared to 17.2% for gold. Because of this high volatility profile, JPMorgan has not included Bitcoin in its standard sample portfolio allocations.
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