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On-Chain Distribution Creates Resistance Ladder for XRP Below the Two-Dollar Mark

On-chain data indicates a significant portion of XRP's invested capital remains underwater, forming overhead resistance as the asset trades near $1.26.

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XRP traded near $1.26 after declining roughly 11% over a week, falling from a high of $1.42 on September 15. The coin’s market capitalization decreased by 8.25% to $79.75 billion, while 24-hour trading volume expanded 19.26% to $5.97 billion, reflecting heightened market activity.

On-chain metrics from CoinMarketCap indicate that roughly three-quarters of the capital invested in XRP was committed at prices above $2. Realized capitalization figures show an average holder cost basis of approximately $1.48, leaving about 60% of the circulating supply currently at an unrealized loss. Much of the capital acquired above $2 entered the network between November 2024 and March 2026, leaving those positions between 37% and 56% underwater.

Technical resistance has formed across several price tiers following XRP's rally from its August 18 low of $0.99 to an August 22 peak of $1.66. Sell orders have accumulated along a ladder encompassing $1.41, $1.47, $1.55, $1.66, $1.86, and $2.00. Santiment data reveals that market participants who bought at lower price points earlier in the year distributed coins during the August rally, leaving supply concentrated above $1.66.

How this piece reads Sell tone -5
Site call on XRP Neutral score -4.1

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