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Bitcoin Tests 78,000 Dollar Level as Geopolitical Backdrop and Oil Markets Shift

Technical resistance near key exponential moving averages coincides with market speculation surrounding Middle East tensions and energy prices.

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Bitcoin is hovering just beneath a technical resistance zone near $78,000. According to market analysis, surpassing the $78,000 exponential moving average ribbon could clear the way toward higher price targets, while a weekly close under $70,000 risks sending the asset back to test recent lows.

The technical setup arrives amid heightened macroeconomic and geopolitical uncertainty. A Wall Street Journal report cited by The Hormuz Report stated that President Donald Trump is considering formally declaring an end to the conflict with Iran, with administration officials reportedly prioritizing market stability as oil prices climb and defensive stockpiles dwindle. Recent Iranian strikes struck several American installations across Kuwait, Jordan, Iraq, Bahrain, and the United Arab Emirates without an immediate US military response.

Energy markets continue to reflect these tensions, with Brent crude easing slightly to $95.20 a barrel and WTI crude trading at $90.77. Despite daily cooling, Brent has gained approximately 7% on the week and 57% over the year, exerting pressure on global bond markets. While Trump indicated the military campaign may not last long, he maintained that further military options remain open following targeted US strikes against radar and naval systems near the Strait of Hormuz.

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