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XRP faces support test after Ripple's $1.06 billion token unlock

Ripple's release of one billion tokens coincided with positive exchange inflows, creating fresh supply questions as buyers defend key support levels.

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Ripple unlocked one billion XRP worth more than $1.06 billion through three separate releases: 500 million tokens valued at $532.86 million, 300 million worth $319.65 million, and 200 million valued at $213.11 million. Fresh token supply returned to market scrutiny, though historical unlocks have not always triggered immediate selling pressure as Ripple typically redistributed portions through escrow management.

Market participants focused attention on exchange inflows to gauge distribution intensity. Spot exchange netflows shifted direction after months of persistent outflows, reaching +$2.41 million—one of the few positive readings in an extended period of negative values. This marked more XRP entering exchanges than leaving them, suggesting additional trading supply availability. The figure remained relatively modest compared to historical inflow spikes exceeding tens of millions of dollars, leaving room for buyers to absorb incoming liquidity without immediately disrupting market stability.

On-chain metrics improved despite renewed exchange inflows. XRP's Network Value to Transaction ratio declined to 87.8584, reflecting a sharp 62.08% daily drop. Lower NVT values generally indicate stronger transaction activity relative to market capitalization, suggesting network usage accelerated faster than valuation. Such behavior typically supports healthier conditions because capital circulates more efficiently across the blockchain. However, stronger network activity alone rarely addresses concerns about fresh token supply entering circulation.

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