Bitcoin
Bitcoin Dips Ahead of Federal Reserve Decision and Anticipated Interest Rate Hike
Markets are pricing in high odds of a Federal Reserve rate increase following legislative setbacks and elevated inflation metrics driven by energy prices.
Bitcoin traded near $75,903, down 1.44% over 24 hours, as markets prepared for the Federal Reserve's rate decision on September 16, 2026. According to the CME FedWatch tool, traders placed a 92% probability on a 25 basis point hike, which would lift the benchmark target range to 3.75%–4.00% in what would be the first rate increase since 2023. The monetary policy decision follows the Senate's rejection of the CLARITY Act a day earlier.
Pressure on monetary policy has mounted after August inflation reached 3.4% year over year with core inflation at 2.4%, alongside rising energy costs linked to conflict with Iran that pushed Brent crude to $108.75 and diesel to $6 per gallon. The 10-year Treasury yield also climbed to 4.97% on September 14. A Reuters poll indicated that most economists now anticipate a rate increase alongside another potential hike by March.
Conversely, Standard Chartered analysts John Davies and Steve Englander urged caution, arguing that market expectations have become exaggerated due to limited data and that the cost of keeping rates steady remains low. Meanwhile, policymaker Kevin Warsh noted that PCE inflation is running near 3% while expressing skepticism toward the central bank's quarterly dot plot projections.
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