Bitcoin
Bitcoin Enters October Near $84,800 as Historical Data Shows Mixed Seasonal Precedents
Historical data reveals Bitcoin gained in six of the past eight Octobers, though steep liquidations in 2025 illustrate the market risks associated with high leverage.
Bitcoin was trading near $84,800 on October 4, 2026, opening the month with modest gains. An analysis of Binance monthly USDT candle data from 2018 to 2025 shows that Bitcoin ended October in positive territory in six out of eight years, outperforming the historical October records of major altcoins such as Solana.
Historical performance spans a wide range. The largest October advance occurred in 2021 with a 39.9% gain, followed by 2023 at 28.5%, 2020 at 28.0%, 2024 at 11.0%, 2019 at 10.3%, and 2022 at 5.5%. Conversely, only two years closed lower: 2018 with a 3.8% decline and 2025 with a 3.9% drop.
The October 2025 decline highlighted the impact of leveraged positions. After reaching a record high near $126,000 on October 6, 2025, the market experienced more than $19 billion in forced liquidations in a 24-hour window following the announcement of trade tariffs, according to CoinDesk Research. From a technical perspective, daily closing data from CoinMarketCap places Bitcoin above both its 50-day moving average near $78,300 and its 200-day moving average near $75,300.
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