Analysis Highlights Supply Disparity Behind Long-Term XRP Valuation Models
Projections exploring high XRP price targets must account for the substantial gap between the token's circulating supply and its total reserve held by Ripple.
Market discussions around hypothetical targets such as a $10 XRP valuation face significant divergence depending on whether calculations use circulating or total supply figures. At $1.40 on October 12, 2026, XRP traded down 6.55% on the week and 23.38% year-to-date, though it remained up 39.71% from its 60-day low of $1.01.
At current levels, XRP's circulating supply of roughly 63.1 billion tokens corresponds to a market capitalization of $88.5 billion. However, factoring in the total supply of approximately 99.99 billion tokens—capped at 100 billion, with most locked tokens held by Ripple—brings its fully diluted valuation to around $140.2 billion.
Under a $10 price scenario, XRP's circulating market cap would reach approximately $631.3 billion. When applied to the entire existing supply, the fully diluted value would approach $1 trillion, representing roughly 60% of Bitcoin's market capitalization.
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