Bitcoin tests 10-month resistance as technical signals improve
Technical indicators suggest rising odds of a breakout, though market sentiment remains subdued despite fresh buying pressure.
Bitcoin has struggled to gain traction near half its October 2025 all-time high, kept in check by limited capital inflows. According to chart analysis from Alphractal's Joao Wedson, the asset faces a key resistance structure that has held since the peak. Bitcoin has tested this upper boundary three times over more than a decade, and a sustained breakout could send it back toward the channel's origin.
Technical momentum indicators have begun to shift. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence formed a bullish crossover between Thursday and Friday, with its blue line moving above the orange signal line—a development often associated with stronger momentum. The Accumulation/Distribution Line also showed buyers dominating, with buying volume recently reaching its highest level since May 26.
On-chain analysis added to the constructive case. Bitcoin recently exited the Supply in Profit band's "bottom discovery" zone, a region where it has historically traded before major rallies. The short-term holder realized-profit signal pointed toward potential further upside. However, sentiment remained a dampener, with CoinMarketCap's 24-hour reading at +2.06, offering little confirmation that market participants had joined the technical momentum.
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